Once a satisfactory measure of the problematic events for a defined group of facilities has been obtained, the following six-step procedure can be used to determine whether the 80/20 rule applies.
† Reproduced with permission from Clarke and Eck (2003)
In order to analyze crime concentrations, it is first necessary to define the type of facility to be examined; only then is it possible to create a list of facilities that meets that the definition. Ideally, all places that fit the definition and that are in the area of study will be on the list once and only once. In addition, facilities that do not fit the definition will not be on the list. The further the list departs from this ideal, the more likely it is that the results will be misleading.
Identifying all facilities of a particular type in any given area can be troublesome: not only can it sometimes be difficult to develop an appropriate working definition of the type of facility at issue, but problems can also arise in regard to the data management practices of relevant public and private agencies.
Here is an example of creating a list of facilities that illustrates these points. A research team at the University of Cincinnati, Ohio wanted to determine why a few bars had numerous violent incidents, whereas most of the others had none or only a very few. To do this, they needed a definition of “bar” and a list of facilities that met this definition.
Researchers defined “bar” as a place that met four conditions: (1) it had to be open to the general public, rather than restricted to members or rented out to private parties; (2) it had to serve alcohol for onsite consumption; (3) some patrons had to come to the place for the primary purpose of consuming alcohol; and (4) there had to be a designated physical area within the place that served as a drinking area. Locations that did not meet all four conditions were excluded from the study.
To obtain a list of locations meeting this definition, researchers began by consulting records from the Ohio Division of Liquor Control. These records showed that 633 places within the city limits were licensed to serve hard liquor. Based upon their personal knowledge, researchers were able to exclude a number of locations from consideration, reducing the list to 391 possible bars. To isolate the real bars, researchers then compared the remaining locations to the most recent bar guide in a local weekly tabloid that catered to young adults, which contained both a brief written description of the locations and numerous commercial advertisements. The tabloid information revealed that at least 198 of the 391 places fit the definition used. The tabloid list was incomplete, however, as there were an unknown number of city bars that were not reviewed by the tabloid staff. A check of the online Yellow pages verified several more bars. Private fraternal organizations were eliminated from consideration because they were not open to the general public. For most of the remaining places, researchers phoned or visited the sites, examining the physical locations and interviewing owners and employees. Onsite visits revealed several restaurants had areas that looked like bars, but these were eventually eliminated from consideration when it became clear from interviews that they were more decorative than functional or that they were used for other purposes (e.g., to hold carryout orders for customer pickup or to provide overflow seating where customers could eat). Ultimately, researchers identified 264 facilities that fit the definition of bar. These then became the subjects of the study.
Table 1: The Distribution of 121 Assaults in 30 Pubs
No. of Assaults | % of Assaults | Cumulative % Assaults | Cumulative % Pubs | |
---|---|---|---|---|
White Hart | 31 | 25.6 | 25.6 | 3.3 |
Union | 17 | 14.0 | 39.7 | 6.7 |
Feathers | 13 | 10.7 | 50.4 | 10.0 |
Wellington | 11 | 9.1 | 59.5 | 13.3 |
Black Prince | 8 | 6.6 | 66.1 | 16.7 |
Angel | 7 | 5.8 | 71.9 | 20.0 |
George & Dragon | 6 | 5.0 | 76.9 | 23.3 |
Cross Keys | 6 | 5.0 | 81.8 | 26.7 |
Saracen's Head | 4 | 3.3 | 85.1 | 30.0 |
White Bear | 4 | 3.3 | 88.4 | 33.3 |
Mason's Arms | 3 | 2.5 | 90.9 | 36.7 |
Cock | 3 | 2.5 | 93.4 | 40.0 |
Badger | 3 | 2.5 | 95.9 | 43.3 |
Hare & Hounds | 1 | 0.8 | 96.7 | 46.7 |
Red Lion | 1 | 0.8 | 97.5 | 50.0 |
Royal Oak | 1 | 0.8 | 98.3 | 53.3 |
George | 1 | 0.8 | 99.2 | 56.7 |
Cross Hands | 1 | 0.8 | 100 | 60.0 |
Rose & Crown | 0 | 0 | 100 | 63.3 |
King’s Arms | 0 | 0 | 100 | 66.7 |
Star | 0 | 0 | 100 | 70.0 |
Mitre | 0 | 0 | 100 | 73.3 |
Dog and Fox | 0 | 0 | 100 | 76.7 |
Griffin | 0 | 0 | 100 | 80.0 |
Plough | 0 | 0 | 100 | 83.3 |
Queen’s Head | 0 | 0 | 100 | 86.7 |
White Horse | 0 | 0 | 100 | 90.0 |
Bull | 0 | 0 | 100 | 93.3 |
Swan | 0 | 0 | 100 | 96.7 |
Black Bear | 0 | 0 | 100 | 100 |
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